How to use the Trump Executive Order Signings Tool

Trump Executive Order Signings Tool

The Trump Executive Order Signings Tool shows historical executive order (EO) signing data to help you get an edge on "How Many Executive Orders Will Trump Sign This Week?" markets on Kalshi and other prediction markets.

This tool is included in all Prediction Market Pro subscriptions at no extra cost.

What's included

  • Weekly EO counts – How many executive orders Trump signed each week historically, with filters for Above 0, Above 1, and Above 2 (the thresholds Kalshi most commonly offers)
  • Day-of-week breakdown – Percentages of EOs signed by day of the week
  • Historical percentages – Data you can use to determine fair price. For example, if no EOs have been signed by Tuesday, you can see what percentage of weeks still had a signing by week's end
  • Live Kalshi prices – Current market prices pulled directly from Kalshi

How to use the data

The day-of-week data and historical percentages are especially useful as the week progresses. Signings are much more likely on certain days, and many traders don't factor this into their strategy.

For example, if you're looking at a market mid-week and no EOs have been signed yet, the historical percentages tell you exactly how often a signing still happened in similar situations—giving you a data-driven baseline for fair value.

Live Kalshi prices

The tool automatically pulls in live Kalshi prices for the current week's markets. Kalshi sometimes adds additional markets throughout the week (such as Over 1, Over 2, etc.), and these will be pulled in automatically as they're added.

Click Predict on Kalshi next to any market to open it directly on Kalshi.